Vi\u00f0 \u00feessar kringumst\u00e6\u00f0ur er alvarleg h\u00e6tta \u00e1, a\u00f0 Evr\u00f3pusambandi\u00f0 og Bandar\u00edkin gefi Ukra\u00ednu upp \u00e1 b\u00e1tinn sem vonlaust tilfelli. Bandar\u00edkjamenn s\u00fdndu Ukra\u00ednu a\u00f0 v\u00edsu mikinn \u00e1huga \u00e1 \u00e1runum 1991-2 til 1996, me\u00f0an \u00feeir voru a\u00f0 n\u00e1 samningum um aftengingu vetnisvopnab\u00fars Ukra\u00ednumanna e\u00f0a um framsal \u00feess til R\u00fassa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
Bandar\u00edsk stj\u00f3rnv\u00f6ld b\u00e1ru miki\u00f0 lof \u00e1 \u00e1byrg\u00f0artilfinningu, frams\u00fdni og samningalipur\u00f0 \u00fakra\u00ednskra stj\u00f3rnvalda \u00ed \u00feessum samningum. En gleymdu \u00feeim svo og st\u00f3\u00f0u ekki vi\u00f0 gefin lofor\u00f0 um fj\u00e1rhagsstu\u00f0ning \u00ed sta\u00f0inn. Evr\u00f3pusambandi\u00f0 er undir s\u00f6mu s\u00f6k selt. \u00deann 1. ma\u00ed n.k. f\u00e6rast eystri landam\u00e6ri Evr\u00f3pusambandsins a\u00f0 Hv\u00edta R\u00fasslandi og Ukra\u00ednu og lengjast gagnvart R\u00fasslandi (\u00e1 landam\u00e6rum Eistlands og Lettlands). Hin n\u00fdju landam\u00e6ri eru s\u00fdnileg ytri t\u00e1kn um s\u00f6gulegar p\u00f3lit\u00edskar breytingar, sem munu hafa \u00e1hrif \u00ed stj\u00f3rnm\u00e1lum, varnar- og \u00f6ryggism\u00e1lum, vi\u00f0skipta- og efnahagsm\u00e1lum og var\u00f0andi \u00f3tal spurningar, sem koma upp um samskipti einstaklinga og um r\u00e9ttindi \u00fevert \u00e1 landam\u00e6ri. En \u00fea\u00f0 er eins og Evr\u00f3pusambandi\u00f0 hafi veri\u00f0 svo uppteki\u00f0 af samningunum um st\u00e6kkunina til austurs a\u00f0 landam\u00e6rum Ukra\u00ednu, a\u00f0 \u00fea\u00f0 hafi ekki haft atorku til a\u00f0 hugsa, hva\u00f0 t\u00e6ki vi\u00f0 handan landam\u00e6ranna. Eru \u00feessi n\u00fdju landam\u00e6ri endanleg? Er veri\u00f0 a\u00f0 draga upp n\u00fdtt \u201cj\u00e1rntjald\u201d milli Evr\u00f3pu og hins evr\u00f3-as\u00edska landmassa? \u00c1 \u00fe\u00e1 t.d. Ukra\u00edna (50 millj\u00f3na \u00fej\u00f3\u00f0) og K\u00e1kasusl\u00f6ndin a\u00f0 tilheyra As\u00edu? \u00c1 a\u00f0 horfa a\u00f0ger\u00f0arlaust \u00e1 Ukra\u00ednu hverfa aftur inn \u00e1 \u00e1hrifasvi\u00f0 Moskvu, jafnvel \u00fevert \u00e1 vilja meirihluta \u00edb\u00faanna? Vita menn ekki, a\u00f0 R\u00fassland \u00e1n Ukra\u00ednu og a\u00f0\u00ferengt fr\u00e1 K\u00ednverjum \u00ed S\u00edber\u00edu, ver\u00f0ur aldrei aftur heimsveldi? Gera menn s\u00e9r ekki grein fyrir, a\u00f0 hugtaki\u00f0 \u201cGreater Middle East\u201d er merkingarl\u00edti\u00f0 \u00e1n a\u00f0ildar Tyrklands og Ukra\u00ednu (sem liggur a\u00f0 Svarta hafi) a\u00f0 \u00fev\u00ed samstarfi?<\/p>\n
\u00dea\u00f0 voru \u00feessar og \u00fev\u00edl\u00edkar spurningar sem voru tilefni meiri h\u00e1ttar al\u00fej\u00f3\u00f0ar\u00e1\u00f0stefnu, sem haldin var \u00ed \u00ed Kyiv 19.-20. febr\u00faar, s.l.. A\u00f0 r\u00e1\u00f0stefnunni st\u00f3\u00f0u fj\u00f6lm\u00f6rg al\u00fej\u00f3\u00f0asamt\u00f6k og ranns\u00f3knarstofnanir (t.d. The German Marshall Fund, Die Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, The Carnegie Endowment for Peace and Developement, o.fl.) A\u00f0standendum r\u00e1\u00f0stefnunnar t\u00f3kst \u00ed fyrsta sinn, a\u00f0 s\u00f6gn, a\u00f0 n\u00e1 saman til \u00fe\u00e1ttt\u00f6ku um frams\u00f6gu og a\u00f0ild a\u00f0 umr\u00e6\u00f0uh\u00f3pum fulltr\u00faum b\u00e6\u00f0i stj\u00f3rnar og stj\u00f3rnarandst\u00f6\u00f0u \u00ed Ukra\u00ednu. T.d. t\u00f6lu\u00f0u \u00fearna fors\u00e6tisr\u00e1\u00f0herrann, Victor Yanukovych, og fyrrverandi fors\u00e6tisr\u00e1\u00f0herra, Victor Yuschenko, lei\u00f0togi stj\u00f3rnarandst\u00f6\u00f0unnar, utanr\u00edkisr\u00e1\u00f0herrann, Gryshchenko og fyrrverandi utanr\u00edkisr\u00e1\u00f0herrar, eins og Tarasyuk og Zlenko. Mikilv\u00e6gi r\u00e1\u00f0stefnunnar m\u00e1 r\u00e1\u00f0a af \u00fe\u00e1ttt\u00f6ku r\u00e6\u00f0umanna eins og Kwasniewski, forseta P\u00f3llands, Vaclav Havel, fyrrverandi forseta T\u00e9kklands, Carls Bildts, fv. forst\u00e6\u00f0isr\u00e1\u00f0herra Sv\u00ed\u00fej\u00f3\u00f0ar og Madeleine Albright, fv. utanr\u00edkisr\u00e1\u00f0aherra Bandar\u00edkjanna. Margir r\u00e6\u00f0umanna v\u00e9ku a\u00f0 \u00fev\u00ed, a\u00f0 mikilv\u00e6gar kosningar v\u00e6ru fyrirhuga\u00f0ar \u00e1 \u00e1rinu og g\u00e6tu \u00farslitin var\u00f0a\u00f0 miklu um l\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0i\u00f0 \u00ed heiminum. D\u00e6mi: Kosningar \u00ed fj\u00f6lmennasta l\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0isr\u00edki heims, Indlandi, \u00ed n\u00e6stfj\u00f6lmennustu r\u00edkjsamsteypu l\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0isr\u00edkja, Evr\u00f3pusambandinu (Evr\u00f3pu\u00feingskosningar), forsetakosningar \u00ed Bandar\u00edkjunum og forsetakosningar \u00ed Ukra\u00ednu \u00ed okt\u00f3ber. Margir r\u00e6\u00f0umanna t\u00f6ldu, a\u00f0 \u00farslit forsetakosinganna \u00ed \u00dakra\u00ednu \u00ed lok \u00e1rsins sk\u00e6ru \u00far um, hvort \u00dakra\u00edna mundi \u00e1 n\u00e6stu \u00e1rum skipa s\u00e9r \u00ed sveit me\u00f0 Evr\u00f3pu e\u00f0a dragast aftur inn \u00e1 \u00e1hrifasv\u00e6\u00f0i Moskvu. Fyrsta spurningin var \u00fev\u00ed (ef menn taka tr\u00faanlegar yfirl\u00fdsingar stj\u00f3rnvalda um a\u00f0 \u00dakra\u00ednu s\u00e6kist eftir hvoru tveggja, a\u00f0ild a\u00f0 NATO og ESB). Hva\u00f0 \u00feurfa \u00dakra\u00ednumenn sj\u00e1lfir a\u00f0 gera til \u00feess a\u00f0 koma eigin h\u00fashaldi \u00ed lag, til \u00feess a\u00f0 af \u00feessu megi ver\u00f0a? Hverjir eru helstu \u00fe\u00e6ttirnir \u00ed framt\u00ed\u00f0arstefnu Evr\u00f3pusambandsins, sem hefur \u00fea\u00f0 markmi\u00f0 a\u00f0 la\u00f0a \u00dakra\u00ednu til samstarfs? Hvernig \u00feurfa bandar\u00edsk stj\u00f3rnv\u00f6ld a\u00f0 breyta stefnu sinni gagnvart \u00dakra\u00ednu, til \u00feess a\u00f0 au\u00f0velda \u00dakra\u00ednum\u00f6nnum a\u00f0 r\u00edfa sig lausa \u00far n\u00e1\u00f0arfa\u00f0mi R\u00fassa? Loks, hvernig \u00feurfa Bandar\u00edkin og Evr\u00f3pa a\u00f0 samr\u00e6ma stefnu s\u00edna gagnvart R\u00fasslandi Putins til \u00feess a\u00f0 losa um t\u00f6k R\u00fassa \u00e1 \u00dakra\u00ednu og til \u00feess a\u00f0 koma \u00ed veg fyrir, a\u00f0 R\u00fassar geti beitt neitunarvaldi, \u00feegar \u00e1 reynir? \u00deessar spurningar voru r\u00e6ddar \u00ed \u00feaula \u00e1 r\u00e1\u00f0stefnunni, \u00fear sem sko\u00f0anaskipti heimamanna, b\u00e6\u00f0i \u00far stj\u00f3rn og stj\u00f3rnarandst\u00f6\u00f0u, vi\u00f0 utana\u00f0komandi s\u00e9rfr\u00e6\u00f0inga, voru b\u00e6\u00f0i fr\u00f3\u00f0legar og gagnlegar (sj\u00e1 fylgiskj\u00f6l).<\/p>\n
En er hinn takmarka\u00f0i \u00e1rangur, sem \u00dakra\u00ednumenn hafa n\u00e1\u00f0 \u00e1 fyrstu \u00ferett\u00e1n \u00e1rum um\u00fe\u00f3ttunart\u00edmans fr\u00e1 alr\u00e6\u00f0istj\u00f3rnarfari komm\u00fanista \u00ed \u00e1tt til l\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0islegri stj\u00f3rnarh\u00e1tta v\u00edsbending um, a\u00f0 \u00feetta s\u00e9r vonlaust m\u00e1l? \u00dea\u00f0 segja hinir svarts\u00fdnu. Kuchma forseti taldi \u00feessa gagnr\u00fdni \u00f3sanngjarna, eins og fram kom \u00ed samtali vi\u00f0 fors\u00e6tisr\u00e1\u00f0herra \u00cdslands. Kuchma benti \u00e1, a\u00f0 \u00dakra\u00edna hefur veri\u00f0 \u00e1 r\u00fassnesku \u00e1hrifasv\u00e6\u00f0i \u00f6ldum saman og undir stj\u00f3rn komm\u00fanista fr\u00e1 \u00fev\u00ed eftir fyrra str\u00ed\u00f0 e\u00f0a \u00ed mun lengri t\u00edma en \u00fdmis l\u00f6nd \u00ed Mi\u00f0- og Austur Evr\u00f3pu, sem hef\u00f0u lent \u00e1 sov\u00e9sku \u00e1hrifasv\u00e6\u00f0i eftir seinna str\u00ed\u00f0i\u00f0. Hi\u00f0 r\u00fassneska \u201cmentalitet\u201d \u00e6tti \u00fev\u00ed d\u00fdpri \u00edt\u00f6k, sem l\u00fdsti s\u00e9r \u00ed vanabundinni gerr\u00e6\u00f0isstj\u00f3rn og skorti \u00e1 l\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0islegum hef\u00f0um. \u00dea\u00f0 v\u00e6ri \u00fev\u00ed \u00f3sanngjarnt a\u00f0 \u00e6tlast til a\u00f0 \u00dakra\u00ednumenn g\u00e6tu umbreytt hugsunar- og stj\u00f3rnarh\u00e1ttum \u00e1 jafn sk\u00f6mmum t\u00edma og t.d. P\u00f3lverjar. \u201cM\u00f3tiveringin\u201d fyrir \u00fev\u00ed a\u00f0 leita \u00ed vestur\u00e1tt v\u00e6ri \u00fev\u00ed veikari. T.d. v\u00e6ri varla til \u00fakra\u00ednsk fj\u00f6ldkylda, sem ekki \u00e6tti \u00e6ttingja \u00ed R\u00fasslandi, og fj\u00f6ldi R\u00fassa, innan landam\u00e6ra \u00dakra\u00ednu, v\u00e6ri sta\u00f0reynd, sem taka yr\u00f0i tillit til. Auk \u00feess v\u00e6ri \u00dakra\u00edna mj\u00f6g h\u00e1\u00f0 R\u00fasslandi \u00e1 orkusvi\u00f0inu. \u201cR\u00fassneska vandam\u00e1li\u00f0\u201d v\u00e6gi \u00fev\u00ed mun \u00feyngra, \u00feegar k\u00e6mi a\u00f0 framt\u00ed\u00f0arstefnum\u00f6rkun fyrir \u00dakra\u00ednu. Fjandskapur R\u00fassa gagnvart a\u00f0l\u00f6gun \u00dakra\u00ednu a\u00f0 Evr\u00f3pu v\u00e6ri mun \u00e1kve\u00f0nari en hann var \u00ed reynd gagnvart fyrrverandi leppr\u00edkjum \u00feeirra \u00ed Austur Evr\u00f3pu. Vi\u00f0 \u00feetta b\u00e6ttist, a\u00f0 stefna Vesturveldanna gagnvart \u00dakra\u00ednu k\u00e6mi \u00dakra\u00ednum\u00f6nnum fyrir sj\u00f3nir sem tv\u00edlr\u00e1\u00f0, \u00f3markviss og hikandi. \u00dea\u00f0 \u00e6tti b\u00e6\u00f0i vi\u00f0 um Bandar\u00edkin og Evr\u00f3pusambandi\u00f0. \u00dakra\u00ednumenn ger\u00f0u s\u00e9r vel grein fyrir \u00fev\u00ed, a\u00f0 umb\u00e6tur byrju\u00f0u heima. \u00deeir \u00e6tlu\u00f0ust hins vegar til skilnings \u00e1 \u00fev\u00ed, a\u00f0 umb\u00f3taferli\u00f0 g\u00e6ti teki\u00f0 lengri t\u00edma en \u00fea\u00f0 t\u00f3k \u00ed Austur Evr\u00f3pu. Auk \u00feess sakna\u00f0i hann \u00feess, a\u00f0 Vesturveldin styddu vi\u00f0 baki\u00f0 \u00e1 umb\u00f3ta\u00f6flunum \u00ed \u00dakra\u00ednu me\u00f0 j\u00e1kv\u00e6\u00f0um a\u00f0ger\u00f0um. \u00dakra\u00ednum\u00f6nnum v\u00e6ri \u00ed mun a\u00f0 \u00f6\u00f0last vi\u00f0urkenningu Evr\u00f3pusambandsins \u00e1 \u00fev\u00ed, a\u00f0 \u00dakra\u00edna v\u00e6ri \u00feegar marka\u00f0skerfi. \u00deeir hef\u00f0u v\u00e6nst \u00feess, \u00feegar landam\u00e6ri Evr\u00f3pusambandsins f\u00e6r\u00f0ust a\u00f0 \u00dakra\u00ednu, a\u00f0 Evr\u00f3pusambandi\u00f0 by\u00f0i \u00e1kve\u00f0na kosti til a\u00f0 koma \u00ed veg fyrir, a\u00f0 \u00dakra\u00ednumenn upplif\u00f0u hin n\u00fdju landam\u00e6ri sem n\u00fdja hindrun – svo a\u00f0 ekki v\u00e6ri tala\u00f0 um \u201cn\u00fdtt jarntjald\u201d. T.d. me\u00f0 \u00fev\u00ed a\u00f0 au\u00f0velda millj\u00f3num \u00dakra\u00ednumanna, sem \u00feurfa a\u00f0 leita eftir vinnu innan Evr\u00f3pusambandsins, a\u00f0 geta \u00fea\u00f0 (Schengen og Visa), auk \u00feess sem fr\u00edverslunarsamningar til a\u00f0 au\u00f0velda marka\u00f0sa\u00f0gang fyrir \u00fakra\u00ednskar v\u00f6rur mundi vera j\u00e1kv\u00e6tt t\u00e1kn um ssamstarfsvilja \u00ed framt\u00ed\u00f0inni. \u00dara\u00ednumenn ger\u00f0u s\u00e9r grein fyrir, a\u00f0 \u00fea\u00f0 t\u00e6ki \u00fe\u00e1 langan t\u00edma a\u00f0 fulln\u00e6gja skilyr\u00f0um Evr\u00f3pusambandsins um fulla a\u00f0ild. \u00cd millit\u00ed\u00f0inni yr\u00f0i a\u00f0 finna s\u00e9rt\u00e6kar lausnir. \u00deess vegna spur\u00f0i forsetinn og r\u00e1\u00f0gjafar hans, sendiherra \u00cdslands r\u00e6kilega um a\u00f0draganda og inntak EES samningsins og veltu fyrir s\u00e9r \u00feeirri spuringu, hvort \u00fear v\u00e6ri ekki a\u00f0 finna fyrirmynd, sem g\u00e6ti \u00e1tt vi\u00f0 st\u00f6\u00f0u \u00dakra\u00ednu \u00e1 um\u00fe\u00f3ttunarskei\u00f0inu. A\u00f0 \u00fev\u00ed er var\u00f0a\u00f0i NATO benti forsetinn \u00e1, a\u00f0 \u00dakra\u00ednumenn hef\u00f0u lagt fram verulegan skerf til fri\u00f0arg\u00e6slua\u00f0ger\u00f0a \u00e1 vegum Bandalagsins b\u00e6\u00f0i \u00ed Kosovo og \u00cdrak, en \u00dakra\u00edna h\u00e9ldi \u00fat fj\u00f3r\u00f0u fj\u00f6lmennustu fri\u00f0arg\u00e6slusveit bandalags\u00fej\u00f3\u00f0a \u00ed \u00cdrak \u00e1 eftir Bandar\u00edkjam\u00f6nnum, Bretum og P\u00f3lverjum. \u00deeir vonu\u00f0ust eftir stu\u00f0ningi a\u00f0ilda\u00fej\u00f3\u00f0a NATO, \u00fe.\u00e1.m. \u00cdslands, vi\u00f0 einhvers konar \u201cmembership action plan\u201d (MAP) \u00e1 r\u00e1\u00f0herrafundi \u00ed Istanbul.<\/p>\n
\u00c1 r\u00e1\u00f0stefnunni \u00ed Kyiv var Ron Asmus, fv. a\u00f0sto\u00f0arutanr\u00edkisr\u00e1\u00f0herra Bandar\u00edkjanna \u00ed Clintonstj\u00f3rninni, sem var \u00fe\u00e1 \u00e1byrgur fyrir st\u00e6kkun NATO, helsti talsma\u00f0ur \u201cbjarts\u00fdninnar\u201d a\u00f0 \u00fev\u00ed er var\u00f0a\u00f0i raunverulega m\u00f6guleika \u00e1 a\u00f0l\u00f6gum \u00dakra\u00ednu a\u00f0 b\u00e6\u00f0i NATO og Evr\u00f3pusambandinu. Hann rifja\u00f0i upp, a\u00f0 \u00e1ri\u00f0 1991, vi\u00f0 fall Sov\u00e9tr\u00edkjanna, hef\u00f0u s\u00e1raf\u00e1ir \u00e1hrifamenn \u00e1 Vesturl\u00f6ndum lagt tr\u00fana\u00f0 \u00e1 \u00fea\u00f0, a\u00f0 innan a\u00f0eins \u00ferett\u00e1n \u00e1ra yr\u00f0u \u00fej\u00f3\u00f0irnar \u00ed Mi\u00f0- og Austur Evr\u00f3pu og vi\u00f0 Eystrasalt or\u00f0nar fullir a\u00f0ila a\u00f0 NATO og Evr\u00f3pusambandinu. Rasmus lag\u00f0i fram t\u00f3lf s\u00ed\u00f0na skjal undir fyrirs\u00f6gninni: \u201cA Stragegy for Integrating Ukraine into the West.\u201d \u00cd umr\u00e6\u00f0um um \u00feessa sk\u00fdrslu voru rifju\u00f0 upp \u00fdmis d\u00e6mi um skilningsleysi og vantr\u00fa r\u00e1\u00f0andi afla \u00fe\u00e1 \u00ed Bandar\u00edkjunum (r\u00edkisstj\u00f3rn Bush sr.) \u00e1 getu fyrrverandi leppr\u00edkja komm\u00fanista til a\u00f0 standast \u00feau pr\u00f3f, sem \u00feyrfti til a\u00f0 gerast a\u00f0ilar a\u00f0 samstarfi l\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0isr\u00edkja \u00e1 jafnr\u00e9ttisgrundvelli. Minnt var \u00e1 \u201cChicken-r\u00e6\u00f0u\u201d Bush sr. \u00ed Kyiv, \u00fear sem hann skora\u00f0i \u00e1 \u00dakra\u00ednumenn a\u00f0 hj\u00e1lpa Gorbachev vi\u00f0 a\u00f0 halda Sov\u00e9tr\u00edkjunum saman; r\u00e6\u00f0u Bakers fv. utanr\u00edkisr\u00e1\u00f0herra \u00ed Belgrad, \u00fear sem hann flutti Milosjevich sama bo\u00f0skap og s\u00ed\u00f0ari t\u00edma vitneskju um a\u00f0 Bandar\u00edkjamenn l\u00f6g\u00f0u fast a\u00f0 lei\u00f0togum Eystrasaltsr\u00edkja a\u00f0 s\u00e6tta sig vi\u00f0 samninga um heimastj\u00f3rn (Autonomy) innan Sov\u00e9tr\u00edkjanna, fremur en a\u00f0 krefjast fulls sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0is. Sama m\u00e1li hef\u00f0i gegnt \u00ed London og Par\u00eds. \u00dear hef\u00f0i veri\u00f0 liti\u00f0 \u00e1 n\u00fdfengi\u00f0 sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0i Mi\u00f0- og Austur Evr\u00f3pur\u00edkja sem og Eystrasaltr\u00edkjanna fremur sem vandam\u00e1l en lausn. \u00de\u00fdskaland hef\u00f0i veri\u00f0 uppteki\u00f0 af samningum vi\u00f0 Gorbachev um fri\u00f0samlega sameiningu \u00de\u00fdskalands. \u00dea\u00f0 hef\u00f0i \u00fev\u00ed veri\u00f0 l\u00edtill \u00e1hugi og l\u00edtil atorka me\u00f0al helstu forystumann Vesturlanda um virka samstarfsp\u00f3lit\u00edk me\u00f0 lei\u00f0togum hinna n\u00fdfrj\u00e1lsu r\u00edkja. N\u00fa g\u00e6tu menn l\u00e6rt af reynslunni. Forystumenn sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0ishreyfinganna \u00ed Austur Evr\u00f3pu og vi\u00f0 Eystrasalt hef\u00f0u einfaldlega teki\u00f0 \u00f6rl\u00f6g s\u00edn \u00ed eigin hendur. \u00deeir hef\u00f0u ekki teki\u00f0 nei fyrir svar. \u00deeir hef\u00f0u kn\u00fai\u00f0 dyra, og \u00feeir hef\u00f0u ekki skirrst vi\u00f0 a\u00f0 bera p\u00f3lit\u00edska \u00e1byrg\u00f0 \u00e1 erfi\u00f0um \u00e1kv\u00f6r\u00f0unum (t.d. shock therapy), sem hafi kosta\u00f0 \u00fe\u00e1 vins\u00e6ldir og v\u00f6ld, en veri\u00f0 \u00f3umfl\u00fdjanlegar til a\u00f0 koma \u00fej\u00f3\u00f0um \u00feeirra \u00e1 umb\u00f3tabraut.<\/p>\n
A\u00f0 \u00fev\u00ed er var\u00f0ar \u00dakra\u00ednu l\u00fdsti Asmus \u00e1rangrinum hinga\u00f0 til sem \u201chalf failure\u201d. \u00dea\u00f0 \u00fe\u00fdddi, skv. gagn\u00e1lyktun \u201chalf Success\u201d. Hann benti \u00e1, a\u00f0 eftir framlei\u00f0slufall, \u00f3\u00f0aver\u00f0b\u00f3lgu og fj\u00f6ldaatvinnuleysi \u00ed upphafi, hafi or\u00f0i\u00f0 umtalsver\u00f0 umskipti til hins betra s.l. fj\u00f6gur \u00e1r: Hagv\u00f6stur er \u00f6r, ver\u00f0b\u00f3lga er vi\u00f0r\u00e1\u00f0anleg, erlendar fjarfestingar fara vaxandi, og efnahagshorfurnar framundan eru tilt\u00f6lulega bjartar. \u00dea\u00f0 v\u00e6ri fyrst og fremst \u00e1 p\u00f3lit\u00edska svi\u00f0inu, sem umb\u00f3ta v\u00e6ri \u00fe\u00f6rf. H\u00e9r g\u00e6tu almannasamt\u00f6k (NGOs) lagt miki\u00f0 a\u00f0 m\u00f6rkum vi\u00f0 a\u00f0 efla sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0i fj\u00f6lmi\u00f0la, sty\u00f0ja starf stj\u00f3rnm\u00e1laflokka og afla og dreifa uppl\u00fdsingum um \u00fer\u00f3un m\u00e1la. A\u00f0alatri\u00f0i\u00f0 v\u00e6ri a\u00f0 gleyma ekki \u00dakra\u00ednu. A\u00f0 gefa hana ekki upp \u00e1 b\u00e1tinn. A\u00f0 vera \u00ed sambandi vi\u00f0 stj\u00f3rnv\u00f6ld og stj\u00f3rnarandst\u00f6\u00f0uv\u00f6ld, a\u00f0 bj\u00f3\u00f0a a\u00f0sto\u00f0 eftir \u00fe\u00f6rfum vi\u00f0 a\u00f0 efla l\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0i og r\u00e9ttarr\u00edki. Margt sm\u00e1tt ger\u00f0i eitt st\u00f3rt. \u00dea\u00f0 v\u00e6ri t\u00edmi til kominn a\u00f0 bj\u00f3\u00f0a ungu f\u00f3lki \u00ed \u00dakra\u00ednu upp \u00e1 massivt n\u00e1msmannapr\u00f3gram \u00ed Evr\u00f3pu og Bandar\u00edkjunum. \u00dea\u00f0 yr\u00f0i a\u00f0 s\u00fdna sveigjanleika. S\u00e9rstaklega b\u00e6ri Evr\u00f3pusambandinu a\u00f0 gera \u00fea\u00f0 \u00ed framhaldi af n\u00fdjum sameiginlegum landam\u00e6rum vi\u00f0 \u00dakra\u00ednu. A\u00f0alau\u00f0lind \u00dakra\u00ednu v\u00e6ri fj\u00f6ldi velmennta\u00f0s f\u00f3lks og vel \u00fej\u00e1lfa\u00f0 og aga\u00f0 vinnuafl. Unga kynsl\u00f3\u00f0in myndi kj\u00f3sa me\u00f0 Vestrinu, \u00e1 \u00fev\u00ed v\u00e6ri enginn vafi, \u00e6tti h\u00fan \u00feess kost. \u00deessari n\u00fdju kynsl\u00f3\u00f0 yr\u00f0i a\u00f0 r\u00e9tta hj\u00e1lparh\u00f6nd. \u00dea\u00f0 v\u00e6ri alls ekki vonlaust a\u00f0 forsetakosningarnar \u00ed haust 2004 g\u00e6tu or\u00f0i\u00f0 upphafi\u00f0 a\u00f0 kynsl\u00f3\u00f0askiptum og stefnubreytingu, sem g\u00e6ti or\u00f0i\u00f0 afgerandi fyrir framt\u00ed\u00f0 landsins. Framt\u00ed\u00f0in v\u00e6ri au\u00f0vita\u00f0 \u00ed h\u00f6ndum \u00feeirra sj\u00e1lfra. \u00dakra\u00edna st\u00e6\u00f0i n\u00fa \u00e1 krossg\u00f6tum. \u00c1 \u00feeim t\u00edmam\u00f3tum \u00feyrftu l\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0issinnar \u00ed \u00dakra\u00ednu \u00e1 \u00fev\u00ed a\u00f0 halda sem aldrei fyrr, a\u00f0 \u00feeir \u00e6ttu vini og bandamenn, sem h\u00e6gt v\u00e6ri a\u00f0 treysta \u00e1 Vesturl\u00f6ndum.<\/p>\n
P.s. Undirrita\u00f0ur vekur s\u00e9rstaka athygli \u00e1 hj\u00e1l\u00f6g\u00f0um fylgiskj\u00f6lum, sem sk\u00fdra n\u00e1nar n\u00faverandi \u00e1stand og l\u00fdsa megin\u00fe\u00e1ttum virkrar og j\u00e1kv\u00e6\u00f0rar stefnu gagnvart \u00dakra\u00ednu \u00ed framt\u00ed\u00f0inni:<\/p>\n
(1) Ukraine in Europe and the World: A View from Ukraine, eftir Oles Lisnychuk og Volodymyr Horbach, Institude of Euro-Atlantic Cooperation Kyiv.
\n(2) Ukraine: Near Abroad of the European Union? – Overcoming a Curse of Dual- Periphery, eftir Jiri Schneider og Alexandre Vondra, PASS Policy Paper nr. 2, Prague
\n(3) A Stragedy for Intergrating Ukraine into the West, eftir Ron. D. Asmus, German Marshall Fund of the United States.<\/p>\n
\u00d6nnur fylgiskj\u00f6l:<\/p>\n
(1) International Conference: Ukraine in Europe and the World – Feb. 20.- 21. 2004, Kyiv
\n(2) Ukraine in Europe and the World: A Conference Declaration, Kyiv, Feb. 20-21. 2004
\n(3) Address by Aleksander Kwasniewski, forseta P\u00f3llands
\n(4) Carl Bildt, fv. Fors\u00e6tisr\u00e1\u00f0herra Sv\u00ed\u00fej\u00f3\u00f0ar, \u201cHalf the Way-The Year of Elections and Directions
\n(5) Madeleine Albright, fv. Utanr\u00edkisr\u00e1\u00f0herra BNA: Keynote Speech, Ukraine Conference
\n(6) Ukraine Conference: List of Participants
\n(7) Ukraine Conference: Biographies<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ukra\u00edna er \u00e1 krossg\u00f6tum. \u00der\u00e1tt fyrir yfirl\u00fdsingar stj\u00f3rnvalda um p\u00f3lit\u00edskan vilja \u00feeirra til a\u00f0 Ukra\u00edna skipi s\u00e9r \u00ed ra\u00f0ir evr\u00f3pskra l\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0isr\u00edkja (me\u00f0 a\u00f0ild a\u00f0 EU og NATO) eru engar raunh\u00e6far l\u00edkur \u00e1 a\u00f0 \u00fea\u00f0 gerist \u00ed br\u00e1\u00f0. \u00derett\u00e1n \u00e1r eru li\u00f0in fr\u00e1 \u00fev\u00ed a\u00f0 landi\u00f0 l\u00fdsti yfir sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0i 1991. \u00c1rangurinn er \u00ed besta falli \u00f3jafn, \u00ed versta falli h\u00f6rmulegur. Um margt svipar \u00fer\u00f3uninni meira til R\u00fasslands en til Mi\u00f0- og Austurevr\u00f3pur\u00edkja e\u00f0a til Eystrasaltsr\u00edkjanna. Ukra\u00edna n\u00e6r ekki framhaldseinkunn \u00e1 neinn \u00feeirra m\u00e6likvar\u00f0a, sem Evr\u00f3pusambandi\u00f0 og NATO setja a\u00f0 skilyr\u00f0i fyrir inng\u00f6ngu. En \u00feeir eru: Fj\u00f6lflokkal\u00fd\u00f0r\u00e6\u00f0i me\u00f0 frj\u00e1lsum kosningum og frj\u00e1lsum fj\u00f6lmi\u00f0lum; r\u00e9ttarr\u00edki me\u00f0 sj\u00e1lfst\u00e6\u00f0um d\u00f3mst\u00f3lum, opi\u00f0 hagkerfi \u00fear sem r\u00edkir marka\u00f0ssamkeppni skv. vi\u00f0urkenndum leikreglum. Ekkert af \u00feessu hefur n\u00e1\u00f0 a\u00f0 dafna \u00ed Ukra\u00ednu, og \u00e1 sumum svi\u00f0um er um a\u00f0 r\u00e6\u00f0a afturf\u00f6r fr\u00e1 umb\u00f3tat\u00edmabilinu \u00ed upphafi 1991. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1108","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-allar_greinar","category-greinar_og_vidtol"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1108","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1108"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1108\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2958,"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1108\/revisions\/2958"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1108"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1108"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jbh.is\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1108"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}